Oil and gas will feed half of energy needs over next 20 years

Oil and gas will feed half of energy needs over next 20 years

Petronas believes energy from industry will be at 47% by 2040, a drop of only 7% from the current level despite growth of renewable energy.

Petronas says it is critical to continue to deliver energy that is affordable, secure and sustainable. (AFP pic)
KUALA LUMPUR:
Oil and gas will continue to make up a significant portion of the energy mix, although at a declining trend of 47% by 2040 from about 54% in 2018 due to the growth of renewable energy.

Petronas executive vice-president and chief executive officer (upstream) Adif Zulkifli said as an industry tasked with catering to the growing energy demand, it was critical for the national oil company to continue to deliver energy that was affordable, secure and sustainable.

“This is where the challenge lies. We need to do it safely, at the lowest cost possible to ensure we are resilient and additionally, at low carbon which means that we need to ensure that we need to drive carbon emission levels down from current levels,” he said in his keynote address at the inaugural Re-Imagining Malaysia Assets (RESET) 2021.

To do so, Adif said a shift in mindset was paramount, and embracing new technology and digitalisation would drive the oil and gas industry to survive, remain relevant and competitive in the future.

“What we have done before will not work in the future. Technology and digitalisation which for so long has been advocated as an agent of change for the future must be embraced and implemented now,” he added.

Adif said Petronas had started to reimagine a future where cooperation could be done remotely.

“In fact in 2020, our first remote operations platform was piloted at the Resak field, offshore Terengganu. We anticipate it to reduce up to 30% of operational expenditure,” he said.

Meanwhile, Kenanga Research said Brent crude prices enjoyed a rebound this year, underpinned by weather-led supply disruptions and Opec’s decision to maintain output cuts.

That said, the brokerage still sees possible downside risks to oil prices, possibly even dipping below the US$60 per barrel mark, given the still fragile demand-supply dynamics with full recovery to pre-pandemic levels expected only in 2023.

The inevitability of Opec increasing production during the year, given its record low production capacity utilisation would also be another downside risk for the industry.

“Nonetheless, despite downside risks to oil prices, we believe that Brent crude prices hovering within the range of between US$55 and US$65 per barrel are healthy enough to sustain a rebound in activity levels,” Kenanga Research said.

The 4-day RESET 2021 is hosted by Petronas Carigali and organised by the Society of Petroleum Engineers Kuala Lumpur Section in collaboration with the Malaysian Oil and Gas Services Council and Informa Markets.

The virtual conference aims to enrich the innovation technology gathering efforts and knowledge transfer between industries where implementations and best practices are showcased in order to stay ahead of the curve in facing the volatility of energy price.

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