Central bank policies, geopolitics to impact global IPO market, says EY

Central bank policies, geopolitics to impact global IPO market, says EY

The professional services provider says lower interest rates and easing inflation fuel the optimism.

bursa malaysia
In the first nine months of 2024, the Malaysian market has witnessed a tally of 36 IPOs, with Q3 contributing to this count with 14 IPOs. (Bernama pic)
PETALING JAYA:
The global initial public offering (IPO) market is projected to be influenced by central bank policies, geopolitical development, and key election outcomes for the remainder of 2024, said Ernst & Young Consulting Sdn Bhd (EY).

The professional services provider said lower interest rates and easing inflation fuel the optimism, likely encouraging new listings and a resurgence in sectors sensitive to borrowing costs.

It said strong performance in key markets such as the US, Europe, and India is also expected to support IPO activities.

“Cross-border listings should continue to thrive, and significant public debuts, especially those backed by private equity firms and from spin-offs and carve-outs, are anticipated as they seek favourable public entry points,” it said in a statement today.

EY Asean IPO leader Chan Yew Kiang said IPO activities are expected to pick up in the next quarter and year ahead as interest rates ease and companies gear up for regional growth.

“We should also expect growing interest in cross-border listings as companies seek to achieve brand equity in the other markets they are venturing into,” said Chan.

Amid a global economic slowdown, market volatility, geopolitical shifts, and monetary easing, the global IPO market in the third quarter of 2024 (Q3 2024) has shown signs of cautious optimism.

EY said that despite a dip in year-over-year volumes by 14% to 310 IPOs and proceeds by 35% to US$24.9 billion (US$1=RM4.29), Q3 modestly outpaced the first two quarters of 2024 in IPO launches.

“Cross-border listings have also seen a significant uptick. In the first three quarters of this year, 77 companies chose to list abroad, up from 64 in the same period last year, a 20% year-on-year increase,” said the company.

Since 2023, EY said foreign-domiciled issuers have represented approximately 52% of IPOs on US exchanges, reaching a 20-year high.

It noted Asia-Pacific had made a notable turnaround in Q3, contributing to an 11% quarter-on-quarter increase in global IPO numbers, as the region overcame earlier declines.

“This rebound, marked by increased activity in mainland China, Indonesia, Malaysia and South Korea, has injected confidence into the global market during a period of heightened uncertainty,” said EY.

Year-to-date (YTD), Asean saw a total of 94 IPOs raising US$2.5 billion, down from 127 IPOs raising US$4.9 billion, according to the statement.

In Q3 2024 alone, there were 28 IPOs with proceeds totalling US$1.1 billion, representing a surge in proceeds of 100% from the previous quarter that saw 29 deals worth US$0.6 billion.

“This was primarily driven by the prominent listing of 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings Bhd from Malaysia, which stood as the second-largest IPO in the region in YTD 2024,” EY said.

EY Malaysia senior executive director of strategy and transactions Kevin Chew said the economic climate in Malaysia is showing signs of robust positivity, reflected in the invigorated pace of the Malaysian IPOs.

He noted that in the first nine months of 2024 alone, the market witnessed a tally of 36 IPOs, and notably, Q3 contributed significantly to this count with 14 IPOs.

“This surge in activity marks a resurgence for Malaysia, boasting the highest number of IPOs since 2006, and signals a strong investor confidence,” added Chew.

Across Asean, other active exchanges in YTD 2024 include Indonesia (34 IPOs raising US$0.3 billion), Thailand (22 IPOs raising US$0.6 billion), and the Philippines (three IPOs raising US$0.2billion).

Singapore and Sri Lanka each had one IPO that raised US$19.5 million and US$1.5 million, respectively.

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