Trump’s pressure on Fed independence holds global risk

Trump’s pressure on Fed independence holds global risk

European Central Bank policymaker Olli Rehn says the governing council is monitoring the economic situation.

Jerome Powell, Donald Trump
US President Donald Trump repeatedly criticised Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell and said he would fire one of its governors, Lisa Cook. (EPA Images pic)
HELSINKI:
President Donald Trump’s escalating attacks on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could have substantial and global knock-on effects on the financial markets and the real economy, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Olli Rehn said in a speech today.

Uncertainty surrounding the world’s most important monetary authority, the Fed, has risen this year as Trump repeatedly criticised its chair Jerome Powell and on Monday announced he was firing one of its governors, Lisa Cook.

“President Trump has, in fact, exerted strong pressure on the US Fed to cut interest rates for quite some time,” Finland’s central bank governor said.

“The Fed’s independence has remained an inviolable principle since the beginning of the 1980s,” he added.

“Now, however, this principle is wobbling badly. This could have substantial, global knock-on effects on both the financial markets and the real economy,” Rehn said.

He said Europeans should take action to boost global confidence in the euro as a safe currency in order to avoid a similar deterioration of central bank autonomy in Europe.

“It’s no mere coincidence that euro area inflation is now at the 2% target – it is indeed connected to the central bank’s independent decision-making,” he said.

The dollar’s global hegemony as a reserve currency has proven resilient, and therefore Rehn said he considered its rapid weakening unlikely.

“I say this, however, with one important caveat: if the dollar’s institutional foundations were to crumble – I am referring to the principles of the rule of law and democracy, as well as civil liberties – we could find ourselves in a different situation”, he said.

While the euro area’s growth has proved more resilient than expected, Rehn said inflation was set to slow below the 2% target in the short term, due to cheaper energy, a stronger euro, and a slowdown in services inflation.

“In the ECB’s governing council, we are closely monitoring the economic situation and stand ready to act if needed,” Rehn said.

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