Asian stocks climb, dollar drops on Fed easing bets

Asian stocks climb, dollar drops on Fed easing bets

Focus is centring on US President Donald Trump's nomination to fill a coming vacancy on the Fed's board of governors.

Japan’s broad Topix index rose 0.9% to reach an all-time high, with the more tech-focused Nikkei also gaining about the same margin. (Bloomberg pic)
TOKYO:
Asian equities rose today, with Japanese shares hitting a record high, as tech-led gains on Wall Street, upbeat earnings, and growing expectations for US rate cuts boosted sentiment.

The prospect of a meeting between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin over the war in Ukraine also underpinned sentiment, benefiting the euro, while weighing on oil prices as traders gauged the outlook for sanctions on Moscow.

Sterling held its ground at a one-week high going into the Bank of England’s (BoE) policy announcement later in the day, with a quarter-point cut widely expected, and the focus falling on a possible three-way split within the board.

At the same time, markets largely shook off Trump’s latest tariff threats, including an additional 25% tariff on India over purchases of Russian oil and a threatened 100% duty on chips.

Japan’s broad Topix index rose 0.9% to reach an all-time high, with the more tech-focused Nikkei also gaining by about the same margin.

Taiwan’s stock benchmark surged 2.3% to a more than one-year peak.

South Korea’s KOSPI added 0.6%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.4%, and mainland Chinese blue chips advanced 0.3%.

Australian shares edged slightly lower after hitting a record high yesterday.

US stock futures were buoyant, with those for the S&P 500 up 0.3% and those for the Nasdaq also rising 0.3%.

Yesterday, the S&P 500 climbed 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.2%.

“Wall Street seems to have gotten its mojo back,” Capital.com analyst Kyle Rodda wrote in a note.

“However, there are persistent risks to the downside. Downside surprises in official data are increasing,” he said.

“Valuations are also stretched, with forward price to earnings hovering around the highest in four years. And trade uncertainty persists,” he added.

The US dollar remained lower against major peers today, with expectations of easier policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) stoked both by some disappointing macroeconomic indicators – not least Friday’s payrolls report – and Trump’s move to install new picks on the Fed board that are likely to share the US president’s dovish views on monetary policy.

Focus is centring on Trump’s nomination to fill a coming vacancy on the Fed’s board of governors and candidates for the next chair of the central bank, with current chair Jerome Powell’s tenure due to end in May.

The dollar index, which gauges the currency against the euro, sterling and four other counterparts, gained slightly to 98.245, after dropping 0.6% yesterday.

The euro was little changed at US$1.1657, following the previous session’s 0.7% jump.

Sterling was steady at US$1.3356.

The BoE looks poised to cut interest rates for the fifth time in 12 months later toda, but nagging worries about inflation are likely to split its policymakers and cloud the outlook for its next moves.

Two monetary policy committee members may push for a half-point rate cut, and two may lobby for no change.

The US dollar added 0.1% to ¥147.53.

Gold gained 0.4% to around US$3,382 per ounce, buoyed by the weaker dollar.

Crude oil clawed back some losses from yesterday, when both Brent and West Texas Intermediate slid about 1%.

Brent crude futures were last up 20 cents, or 0.3%, at US$67.09 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 22 cents, or 0.3%, to US$64.57 a barrel.

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