MISC wins LNG contract but analysts are unimpressed

MISC wins LNG contract but analysts are unimpressed

Research houses point out that for a 25% stake, a 3% estimated earnings is too small.

MISC has won a long-term charter contract for LNG carriers that will be built by Hyundai Heavy Industries, but it expects returns of only 3%. (MISC pic)
KUALA LUMPUR:
MISC Bhd has failed to impress analysts for clinching a liquefied natural gas (LNG) contract.

It was pointed out that for a 25% stake, the shipping company will see estimated earnings of less than 3% for its full financial year 2025 (FY2025).

Yesterday, MISC announced that it had been awarded long-term charter contracts for seven 174,000-cubic-metre LNG carriers to be built by Hyundai Heavy Industries.

MISC will enter into a consortium with three other multinational companies (MNCs) each having an equal stake of 25% for each carrier.

Hong Leong Investment Bank (HLIB) said it is only “mildly positive” about this development and is maintaining a hold on the counter with an unchanged sum of parts-derived target price of RM7.67 per share.

In a research note today, it said MISC is supported by the “defensive nature” of its name because of its portfolio of long-term charters to provide consistent, recurring cash flows and its relatively fixed dividend payout policy of 33 sen per year.

Maybank Investment Bank (Maybank IB) viewed this latest development as “neutral”, pending clarity from the company’s management.

“We maintain our earnings forecasts, a sum of parts-derived target price of RM7.53 with a hold recommendation and expects the performance of its GAS Assets and Solutions segment to sustain, supported by the stable income from its long-term charters,” it said.

Kenanga Research said it is positive about the contract win although the immediate earnings impact may be “smallish”.

“We expect the upcoming Q2 2022 reported earnings to be weaker, as we anticipate the group to recognise impairments and provisions following the continued delays and cost escalations for its Mero-3 floating production, storage and offloading facility, currently undergoing conversion and fabrication works at CIMC Raffles shipyard in China,” it said. It has a target price of RM7.55 for the counter.

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