Global stocks and bonds steady while oil dips as investors assess Venezuela upheaval

Global stocks and bonds steady while oil dips as investors assess Venezuela upheaval

The US removal of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is unlikely to have significant near-term economic impact on the global economy, an analyst said.

Opening numbers are displayed on a screen at the Tokyo Stock Exchange on Jan 5, the first trading day of 2026. (AFP pic)
LONDON:
Stocks climbed and bond yields firmed while oil prices dipped on Monday as investors weighed up the potential repercussions of the US capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

A STOXX benchmark of Europe’s biggest companies rose 0.5% while MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1.3% to a record high and US futures such as S&P 500 e-minis gained 0.2% ahead of a packed week of economic data releases.

After the dramatic events in Venezuela at the weekend, US President Donald Trump said he was putting the South American nation under temporary American control and that he could order another strike if Venezuela does not cooperate with US efforts to open up its oil industry and stop drug trafficking. He also threatened military action in Colombia and Mexico.

“The removal of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro by the US is unlikely to have meaningful near-term economic consequences for the global economy,” said Neil Shearing at Capital Economics. “But its political and geopolitical ramifications will reverberate.”

Oil prices see-sawed as an OPEC+ vote to keep output unchanged was offset by concern over market disruption from events in oil-producing Venezuela. Brent crude futures were last down 0.8% at US$60.26 a barrel.

Defence stocks led gains in Europe after the US military strikes stoked fresh concerns about geopolitical risks.

An index of defence shares rose 2.7% and hit its highest in two months.

“Given the unexpected turn of events in Venezuela over the weekend, it remains to be seen whether the Trump administration has an appetite for more regime changes,” said Vasu Menon at OCBC in Singapore.

“The strategic calculations are unfolding against the backdrop of a mid-term election year, and developments are unpredictable. This uncertainty could keep oil prices supported. A more fraught geopolitical environment may buoy haven assets like precious metals.”

US MILITARY ACTION SPURS SAFE-HAVEN DEMAND

Gold prices rose on Monday, with spot prices up 2.33% at US$4,430 an ounce, still short of last year’s record high of US$4,549.71.

Safe-haven bonds also held steady, with the yield on the euro zone’s benchmark German 10-year Bund marginally lower at 2.893%, having risen 3 basis points last week. The yield on US 10-year Treasury bonds held at 4.173%.

The US dollar index, which measures the dollar strength against a basket of six currencies, was last up 0.13% at 98.685, extending recent gains into a sixth consecutive day.

Against the yen, the dollar was flat at 156.79 yen. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Monday that the central bank will continue to raise interest rates if economic and price developments move in line with its forecast after raising rates last month by 25 basis points to 0.75%.

Bitcoin was last up 1.2% at US$92,327.40, while ether was up 0.4% at US$3,154.62.

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