Alibaba draws mainland buyers as AI frenzy, cloud drive outlook

Alibaba draws mainland buyers as AI frenzy, cloud drive outlook

Investors bet that the strong debut of its AI tool Qwen will drive future growth ahead of fiscal second-quarter earnings.

Alibaba shares dropped nearly 17% from October peaks on profit-taking but rose 88% overall in 2025 on tech optimism. (File pic)
HONG KONG:
Mainland Chinese investors are increasing their stakes in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ahead of fiscal second-quarter earnings, betting that the strong launch of its AI tool Qwen will help fuel future growth.

Onshore investors bought the tech company’s shares on a net basis for seven consecutive sessions via exchange links with Hong Kong, lifting their stake to 11.07%, according to Kaiyuan Securities Co data. The group’s holdings are now a touch higher than Tencent Holdings Ltd’s, with Alibaba the most purchased over the past 60 sessions.

Alibaba shares rose 4.7% on Monday after its revamped AI tool designed to rival ChatGPT hit 10 million downloads in the week after it became available to the public.

AI spending is expected to be a key focus in Tuesday’s earnings, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. projecting year-on-year cloud revenue growth of 31% even as overall revenue rose just 1%.

Despite a near 17% drop since their October peak as traders booked profits, Alibaba shares remain 88% higher this year, buoyed by China tech optimism following the DeepSeek breakthrough.

Option traders are preparing for a 6.2% stock move on the day following the earnings, less than the average 7.9% fluctuation after the last eight quarterly reports.

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