Ringgit rises as softer US inflation boosts rate cut expectations

Ringgit rises as softer US inflation boosts rate cut expectations

Lower-than-expected headline inflation has strengthened expectations for a US rate cut, says analyst.

Ringgit up
KUALA LUMPUR:
The ringgit extended its uptrend against the US dollar on Wednesday, supported by a 0.43% drop in the US Dollar Index to 98.097 after the headline US inflation rate came in lower than expected.

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Afzanizam Rashid said the ringgit is likely to be well supported today, with the US dollar-ringgit expected to trade between RM4.20 and RM4.23 amid a high probability of a US interest rate cut.

He noted that the softer US inflation rate of 2.7% in July was largely driven by a moderation in the Owner’s Equivalent Rent to 4.1%, after holding at 4.2% for two straight months.

OER accounts for about 25% of the consumer price index weightage, he said.

“The US benchmark equity indices rose more than 1%, while the yield on the two-year US Treasury note fell by four basis points to 3.73%.

“This suggests that the lower-than-expected headline inflation has strengthened expectations for a US rate cut, fuelling the rally in the equities market,” he told Bernama.

At the opening, the ringgit, however, traded mostly lower against major currencies.

At 8 am, the local note rose to 4.2115/4.2285 against the greenback from Tuesday’s close of 4.2290/4.2320.

It fell versus the Japanese yen to 2.8502/2.8619 from Tuesday’s close of 2.8490/2.8512 and declined against the euro to 4.9182/4.9380 from 4.9090/4.9125 yesterday.

But against the British pound, the local note appreciated to 5.6876/5.7106 from 5.6905/5.6946.

The ringgit trended higher against regional peers.

It advanced against the Singapore dollar to 3.2825/3.2960 from 3.2867/3.2893 at yesterday’s close and strengthened versus the Thai baht to 12.9965/13.0570 from 13.0135/13.0300.

The local note also appreciated versus the Indonesian rupiah to 258.5/259.6 from 259.6/259.9 previously and rose vis-a-vis the Philippine peso to 7.38/7.41 from 7.41/7.42

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