Euro under pressure as US-EU trade deal fails to impress

Euro under pressure as US-EU trade deal fails to impress

The euro struggles to recover as markets digest a US-EU deal seen as lopsided, with a 15% tariff on European goods.

The euro tumbled to 1.3%, its steepest drop in over two months, amid growth concerns and falling euro-area bond yields. (Reuters pic)
SINGAPORE:
The euro struggled to recoup its steep losses on Tuesday as investors sobered up to the fact that terms of the trade deal between the US and the EU favoured the former and hardly lifted the economic outlook of the bloc.

France, on Monday, called the framework trade agreement a “dark day” for Europe, saying the bloc had caved in to US President Donald Trump with an unbalanced deal that slapped a headline 15% tariff on EU goods.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said his economy would suffer “significant” damage due to the agreed tariffs.

The euro slid 1.3% in the previous session, its sharpest one-day percentage fall in over two months, on worries about growth and as euro-area government bond yields fell.

The common currency last traded 0.07% higher at US$1.1594.

“It hasn’t taken long for markets to conclude that this relatively good news is still, in absolute terms, bad news as far as the near term implications for euro zone growth are concerned,” said Ray Attrill, head of FX research at National Australia Bank.

“The deal has been roundly condemned by France while others – including German Chancellor Merz, are playing up the negative consequences for exporters, and with that, economic growth.”

The slide in the euro in turn boosted the dollar, which jumped 1% against a basket of currencies overnight.

The dollar held on to gains on Tuesday and knocked sterling to a two-month low of US$1.3349. The yen edged marginally higher to 148.49 per dollar.

The dollar index steadied at 98.67.

“While the US dollar’s strength… may reflect the perception that the new US-EU deal is lopsided in favour of the US, the US dollar’s strength may also reflect a feeling that the US is re-engaging with the EU and with its major allies,” said Thierry Wizman, global FX and rates strategist at Macquarie Group.

Still, Trump said on Monday most trading partners that do not negotiate separate trade deals would soon face tariffs of 15% to 20% on their exports to the United States, well above the broad 10% tariff he set in April.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar eased 0.05% to US$0.6518, while the New Zealand dollar was little changed at US$0.5972.

The offshore yuan was little changed at 7.1813 per dollar.

Top US and Chinese economic officials met in Stockholm on Monday for more than five hours of talks aimed at resolving long-standing economic disputes at the centre of a trade war between the world’s top two economies, seeking to extend a truce by three months.

Apart from trade negotiations, focus this week is also on rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

Both central banks are expected to stand pat on rates, but traders will watch subsequent comments to gauge the timing of their next moves.

Stay current - Follow FMT on WhatsApp, Google news and Telegram

Subscribe to our newsletter and get news delivered to your mailbox.