Banks to remain cautious on loan approvals

Banks to remain cautious on loan approvals

Approval rates fell to 40.6% in the first quarter of 2021 compared with 44.1% for the same period in 2020, says MIDF Research.

MIDF Research believes the drop could be due to higher loan demand as opposed to last year, with banks not being able to keep pace with the approvals.
KUALA LUMPUR:
Banks will remain cautious on loan approvals as approval rates fell to 40.6% in the first quarter of 2021 compared with 44.1% for the same period in 2020, MIDF Research said.

According to the firm, this could be due to higher loan demand as opposed to last year’s, as banks may not have been able to keep pace with the approvals.

The banking system loan growth as at end-March 2021 rose at a slightly faster rate of +3.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) versus +3.7% y-o-y as at February 2021.

Stronger industry performance was mainly contributed by the higher pace of growth for its top three loans segment, namely mortgage, auto and working capital loans, which expanded +5.5% y-o-y to RM1.24 trillion from +5.3% y-o-y to RM1.23 trillion in the previous month.

As with loans demand, MIDF Research said the main drivers for the higher loan approvals were for the purchase of passenger vehicles (+22.7% y-o-y to RM12.7 billion) and residential properties (+35.6% y-o-y to RM28.1 billion).

Loans approved for purchase of non-residential properties also expanded strongly at +21.1% y-o-y growth to RM7.5 billion.

“Again, we view this as an encouraging sign. While banks may still be cautious, we do not believe that it is at a level where credit will be curtailed in the system,” MIDF Research said in a research note today.

Meanwhile, Maybank Investment Bank said the upside risks for improving loans growth and lower credit risks were stronger-than-expected economic growth this year due to improved liquidity, which would help sustain interest margins.

However, the downside risks were weaker-than-expected GDP growth, which could lead to slower loan growth and asset-quality issues, potential interest rate cuts that could negatively impact interest margins in the short term; and a slowdown in current account saving account growth, which could exacerbate deposit competition.

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